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Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Fantasy Football Week 2 Notebook: Vick for MVP

I think there's something about the letter V that resonates differently between the sexes.  As far as men are concerned...we love V words.  There's something about words that start with V that's...well....awesome.  Women though....it just seems the same words rub them a completely different way.  It turns them off.  Here are some words that men think are awesome, but seem to irritate women:

Vagina...ever try to use the word "Vagina" during dirty talk?  Ever call your friend a Vagina while your gal is standing next to you?  Apparently, the only time it's acceptable for a man to use this word is if he's A) a doctor, B) a health teacher, or C) Steve Carrel.  (You gotta see Date Night.  You'll want to marry Tina Fey, regardless of how unattractive you know she is in real life.)
Voluptuous....but it's only bad if we use it 3 times in the next 15 minutes after watching an episode of MadMen.  When you have to switch sitting positions every time Christina Hendricks hits the screen, they notice.
Voltron...self explanatory.
Vick.  It's okay to say that Vick belongs back in jail....but when you follow up "Vick" with "for MVP" around the female population....you will get more dirty looks than if you had your shoes on in a Shinto Temple. You're honestly better off recommending Mike Tyson for President than Mike Vick for MVP around the female gender.  Yeah...rape sucks, but don't fuck with my puppy!

My favorite statement of this weekend came from my buddy Keating, who said "The NFL brought it on themselves by allowing him back in the league."  If you can't automatically deduce what that conversation regarded, I would like to ask if you wouldn't mind carrying this bag of weed with you next time you fly down to see me.  Thanks.

Vick will not be league MVP, but he did open some eyes against the juggernaut defense of....um....Detroit.  Okay, it wasn't exactly an unstoppable force against an immovable object.  But he'll be fun to talk about.  Going around the league...plenty of teams gave us plenty to mention in this weeks notebook.

Arizona at Atlanta;
If there's anything this game proved, it's how good the Pittsburgh D really is.  The Falcons treated the Cards like Hulk Hogan treats his women.  They were rough, controlling, and secretly they wished the person lining up across from them was a man.  Atlanta keeps my vote to be the NFC Superbowl representative.  In the meantime....as you're reading this, Ken Wisenhunt is on his knees in front of Kurt Warner and trying to unzip his pants.  However, this will be to no avail.  If you've ever seen Brenda Warner, you understand that Kurt prefers his bitches to be more masculine than Ken.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Tony Gonzalez is officially not getting to 1000 yards this season.  He was 5th in targets for the Falcons, meaning that even in the redzone, Matt Ryan is looking elsewhere, and this team has a serious commitment to justifying Roddy White's contract.  His next two weeks are against New Orleans, and San Diego.  I doubt either team will force Atlanta to throw frequently....but if Gonzalez can get a good game in their somewhere, trade him immediately.

LaRod Stephens Howling had 25 yards through the air, but didn't receive any carries.  But you don't run much when you're down by 30+.  If Beanie Wells isn't back, he may be a useful pickup against the Raiders in week 3.

We have our first in-season Stephen Williams sighting.  2 grabs for 26 yards.  If there is a breakout player in Arizona....I'm maintaining it's Williams and his huge frame as opposed to Early Doucet.  If Breaston or Fitzgerald go down...make him a priority.

Turner has a "mild groin strain."  With New Orleans on the docket next week....Atlanta will make sure he's "healthy."


If you take out Hightower's 80 yard run, he's still under 4 yards per carry.  He may be a nice piece of a package for someone desperate at RB in a trade, but it's tough to recommend him for a start.

Tampa at Carolina
John Fox officially doesn't give an F anymore.  The stats suggest there was just no game plan for Freeman that didn't include a few wild throws that ended up as luck interceptions.  Freeman ran well, threw efficiently, and I'm pretty sure he banged Fox's wife at half time for good measure.    I've said before that Freeman has talent.  If I can see that, Fox should be able to see that too.  Fox is biding his time waiting for the Giants gig to open up.  That said, I think the Giants may take the East, meaning Coughlin will keep the job.  Have fun in Cleveland Coach Fox.


Fantasy Relevant Notes: 
I spent alot of time wondering aloud before the season why everyone was so high on Stewart.  He generally puts up acceptable numbers, but his real value depends on a DeAngelo Williams injury.  Maybe it happens, maybe it doesn't, but as long as Carolina has to pass in the second half of every game, you might want a new #2 RB.

Why is Mike Williams still available in 32% of fantasy leagues?

I'm done talking about Kareem Huggins.  Therefore, he should finally get the ball next week if he's recovered from his injury.  I'm guessing Cadillac goes down week 5.

Speaking of the Pink Cadillac.....49 carries this season....126 yards.  That's about 3 yards a carry against a run D that gave up 82 yards to Thomas Jones, and 100+ yards to the Giants.  Earnest Graham is looking better and better after catching 5 balls this weekend.  That backfield situation isn't as settled as it looks.

The Clausen era begins.  Poor Steve Smith.  But it could be worse....he could be Dwayne Jarret.  If Carolina is so determined to suck this year, why not get some draft picks from Minnesota for your underutilized but talented receiving corp?

Baltimore at Cincinnati
I don't know if this was a hiccup for Baltimore, or if Cincy's that good, but I'm not worried about the Ravens long term prospects.  Yes....Flacco was Jamarcus Russel bad, but I'm not putting it all on him.  Six non-catches by what's supposed to be your #2 WR will hurt your game-plan, and create a whole bunch of third and longs.  There was still a nice TD pass to Mason, and good use of Heap and Rice.  I'm confident this will get better with time.  The same can be said about Cincy.  The ball was spread all over the place, and Benson had a respectable game, but they couldn't punch it in against this Ravens D.  After Pittsburgh in week 4, this team has several valuable players.


Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Jordan Shipley had another solid game, but they only look to him for short yardage.  His longest catch was 11 yards.  He'll get his fair share of targets, but won't see the endzone very frequently.  Don't buy too high on him.

Housh....you're better than that.  Next week you have Cleveland, and no excuses.  If Housh doesn't do much in week 3, he's better off on your leagues wire than on your bench.

I no longer want to hear about Baltimore using a RBBC.  Willis McGahee still sucks, and Ray Rice is still incredible.  This is not a committee situation.  This is 80% Rice, 20% everyone else.

Todd Heap was second in receptions for Baltimore, including a 19 yarder.  It's time to take him seriously, and I like him for week 3.

With Carolina, Cleveland, and Tampa on Deck, it's time to make a move for TO.  Teams have to worry about Gresham and Shipley, and need to shift coverage to OchoCinco.  Cincy will see a ton of zone D's, and TO has made a career out of shredding them.


KC at Cleveland
Kansas City is like Courtney Love after her glam-makeover.  Some aspects are appealing, but overall their just still too dirty to really be attractive.  T. Jones with 22 carries?  Why?  Do you absolutely hate scoring?  And Cleveland....I just won't have much to say about them this season. 


Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Bring back Thigpen!  Matt Cassel's performance officially proves how overrated Tom Brady is.  He is not even worth a #3 QB spot on your roster right now.  Unfortunately, that also downgrades Dwayne Bowe, Chris Chambers, and anyone else that depends on a ball thrown more than 8 yards.

Tony Maoki led the team in yards and receptions.  That won't be the last time that happens this season.  The TE position is getting ridiculously deep....but he could be a very valuable member of a Carousel.

Josh Cribbs finally got some looks.  He will get many, many more as the season progresses.  Cleveland will always be trailing, so Cribbs will always be getting looks for long completions. 

I was having trouble coming up with a nickname for Jerome Harris and Peyton Hillis, but then I realized they don't deserve one.  You can't trade them, and with Baltimore, Cincy, Atlanta, and Pittsburgh on deck....you can't use them.  Save the four weeks of heartache and cut them now for someone with actual potential.  (Chris Ivory?  Anybody?)

Chicago at Dallas
Somewhere around 8pm on Sunday, it was disclosed that Kim Kardashian dumped Miles Austin.

I have no more hero's.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
There are no regularly useful Dallas RB's.  I had a very strong feeling that Barber would be their leading rusher for week 2.  I did not think that meant 31 total yards.

If the Cowboys kept pressure on Cutler they would have been fine.  (Thanks again Wade Phillips.)  Expect that to be the last time any team doesn't send 7 guys at him almost every play. Matt Forte is no threat on the ground, so there is nothing that will hold any team back from forcing 4 INT's a game.  Cutler will be a great fantasy contributor, but he still has plenty of weeks ahead of him where he'll kill you.  Time to sell high.

Maybe De-Kardashianizing the Cowboys locker room will lead to a win.  Or maybe they've never beat Houston, and this doesn't seem like the best time to do it.  That said....my money is still on them this weekend.

If you combine Witten and Bennet's numbers, you get one productive TE.  Witten will put up yards this season, but expect another 2-4 TD's.  Conversely, even though he got in the endzone, it's safe to cut Olsen given the TE depth out there right now.

Why is Roy Williams still on the field?

Earl Bennet replacing Aromashodu means great things for Devin Hester.  Not for Earl Bennet.

This is your last chance to get Dez Bryant before he completely destroys Houston.  The 5' 9" McCain will not be able to cover him on the sidelines.  It may also be a nice time to try to pry Romo from the hands of his owner by consistently mentioning his 2 TD's so far.  That will change.  As far as I'm concerned, that just means he's saving his other 30 TD's for the last 14 games.

Philly at Detroit;
Kolb is still the man.  The NFL is still very political.  The Eagles can't afford to have Vick as the face of their franchise, and I'm sure there may be some pressure from the top of the NFL to make sure that doesn't happen.  But he should have a good post lockout year in 2012 with Cincinnati.  Detroit on the other hand is already everybody's favorite "surprise playoff pick" for next season.


Fantasy Relevant Notes:
I think Detroit's offensive identity is really starting to take shape.  Let me ask you.....if you're starting a team from scratch, would you rather have Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez and Mike Turner, or Jahvid Best, Pettigrew and Calvin Johnson.  I'd take the latter......

Speaking of Pettigrew....check out weeks 10-16 for Detroit and tell me he won't be a fantasy playoff factor.  Even I thought Burleson may benefit from the Megatron double team, but it looks like Pettigrew is the man.

LeSean McCoy likes turf.  Too bad he won't see it again until week 16 at Minny.  Jahvid Best also likes turf.  He's a nice option at home, and will likely give you top 12 RB stats this year.

Don't lose faith in Avant.  He'll get plenty of opportunity with Kolb back in the lineup.

Miami at Minnesota;
Look...I'll say it again...Favre didn't JUST get old.  He HAS been old.  He just hasn't been as exposed since...well....2008.  If Harvin is recovered by next week, he'll be a top option, V-Jax likely joins in week 6 against Dallas, and Sidney Rice is back in week 9.  This is buy low time on all four of those guys.  Conversely...you've seen everything you're going to see about Miami.  Just 15 attempts by Henne, and it took a 50 yard dash for any RB to be relevant.  The NFC North will be cruel to them.  But heh...at least week 15 and 16 is Buffalo and Detroit.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Shiancoe > Tony Gonzalez.  At least until Minny gets some receivers back.

If Peterson gets hurt, don't grab Gerhart.  But if Albert Young is still hurt....still avoid Gerhart.

Pittsburgh at Tennessee:
Take away a holding penalty that negates an 85 yard Chris Johnson TD, and this is a very different game.  Regardless of who's under center, Tennessee is very dangerous.  Vince Young is still the man for Tennessee.  At least for the first half of week 3.  Part of me thinks the one guy that wants Big Ben to come back the most is actually Charlie Batch.


Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Week 6 doesn't just mean that fantasy leagues see the return of an additional great option at QB with Big Ben.  It also means they get an additional great option at WR with Mike Wallace.

This week proved that Gage and Britt can still be solid fantasy options.....as long as Collins is under center.

After McFadden gave a big performance against Tennessee in week 1, I expected more out of Mendenhall.  Be very wary of him if he's your #1 option right now.

Seattle at Denver:
It's like that interception on Seattle's opening drive reminded the entire team that they are supposed to suck.  That's the last time I recommend Hasselback, and we're not too far away from the Charlie Whitehurst era.  I will say though that the Seattle D is better than it looked, and while Orton may be methodical, the schedule suggests he'll remain productive week in and week out.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Slow your roll on Demaryius Thomas.  He's talented, but he's still limited on his routes meaning he'll disappear in more games than he'll produce in.

Eddie Royal is making defenses look stupid.  This kid has found his role, and will be productive going forward.

Deon Butler has cut out his spot as Seattle's top option.  That really just means Seattle doesn't have a top option.  But the diminutive speedster will be a nice compliment to Mike Williams going forward.

A Week 3 loss means Whitehurst in week 5.  But I still like Seattle's chances.

Keep an eye on Maroney's health.  Moreno isn't impressing anyone right now.  I have a feeling Maroney is this years Beanie Wells, getting the heavier load by the end of the season.

Forsett disappeared in the second half, but still led the team in carries, and had 5.5 ypc. My guess is, if it's close he'll play alot.  If it's not they'll keep him on the bench.  He's going to be a very good start against very bad teams.  Luckily he still has 4 more games against AZ and St. Louis.....as well as Oakland and KC on the docket....so his forecast is looking up.

St. Louis at Oakland;
I like Gradkowsi.  It just seems fitting to me that the Raiders have a grizzled polish veteran QB back there.  In the meantime, St. Louis continues to find new and interesting ways to not score.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
I still don't know exactly what to expect out of Clayton, but I want him on my team.  It's unlikely that every week his only 2 catches will result in TD's....but I think it's also unlikely he'll only get 2 catches every week.  Oakland's pass D is better than you think, so I like him as a solid #2 this year.

Louis Murphy finally hit paydirt, and that won't be the last time.  He's Oakland's deep threat, and I love him against weaker D's like St. Louis.  Considering Arizona and Houston are next up, he's a nice add this week.  He'll give you better, more consistent numbers than DHB.

I have no answer for your Michael Bush problem.  I'm heavily invested in him this year, and that's proving to be a bad decision.  There's just no way he gets more than 5-8 carries a game on his return without a McFadden injury.  I'm just hoping he ends up being the goal line back....but how often will Oakland see the goal line?

Stephen Jackson < 12 other backs.

Danny Amendola is still your chain mover.  Make sure to pick him up when you absolutely need 4 points exactly.  But a decent option for PPR leagues.


New England v. NYJ
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!  F you Brady.  I hope you've seen your last Superbowl.  On the upside, your haircut suggests that you have a brilliant acting career ahead of you if they do another Charlie's Angels remake.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
I have no answer for Shonn Greene.  Hopefully he'll just be well rested for the second half of the season and then go apeshit again.  Right now, I have alot more confidence in starting LT than I do Greene, but I'm guessing that will change as the season wears on.

Do not bank on seeing that Mark Sanchez performance again until 2012.

Braylon Edwards got arrested or hurt again or something.  Whatever.  At least Santonio Holmes has a full time gig when he gets back, but it's always tough to recommend any Jets receiver....even after last Sunday's performance.

BenJarvis Green-Ellis got the bulk of the carries, while rotating series with Taylor.  Faulk is now hurt, so the Law Firm is worth a good hard look with Buffalo and Miami up next.

I know Wes Welker is Brady's woobie, but given the amount of targets he gets, the old Welker would have done more with them.  Sell high.  Now.  He came back too soon, and I don't think he'll last 16 games.

We've seen this TE situation before out of NE.  I still think Gronkowski gets the goal line work, but Hernandez will have more relevant games.  Unfortunately, they will ultimately cancel each others value out.  Either can make your week....but you might be better off with a consistent Maoki or Chris Cooley.


Jacksonville at San Diego;
I don't even know what this game told us.  It left us with more questions than answers.  Rivers had good stats.  He only missed 7 times out of 29.  He had 3 TD's and broke 300 yards.  But he still threw 2 INT's.  Is that cause for worry?  The only Jags player worth starting was Sims-Walker, who was completely missing from week 1.  Who is Jacksonville's QB now?  How "minor" is Ryan Mathews injury?  Don't get too down on the Jags D.  They are very young, and they'll progress as the season goes on.  Courtney Greene looked like a monster, but it's tough to play well when turnovers give MJD the chance to be 6th in tackles.  (It's true!  Google it!)

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Ummm....Buster Davis?  Really?  What happened to Naanee?  I think if you have a reasonably sized corner guarding him....Naanee's going to disappear.  Keep that in mind for your weekly matchups.

Tolbert > Mathews.  I own Mathews in a league, and I just wish the injury was more severe so I could safely dump him.  I don't think he'll be rushed back, and when he comes back how will that ankle treat him?  Will he still carry the load?  I'm worried.  Very worried.  But I look like a genius by saying Best will have a better season.

Don't tell me MJD's not hurt.  They couldn't get him off the field fast enough when the game was kinda-sorta out of reach.  I rarely recommend handcuffing....but if you own MJD, you really need Jennings over a guy like Felix Jones on your bench.

Mike Thomas is pure speed.  He hasn't seen the endzone yet, but he's still going to have a hell of a season.



Houston at Washington
Where there any surprises here?  Oh...yeah....Kevin Walter.  That...and the score was as close as it was.  These are two paper thin pass defenses...you would expect Houston to come out on top.  But you would expect them to come out on top by 14, not 3.  Nice job Washington.  Keep your chin up.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Start every QB, WR, and TE you can against Houston and Washington from here forward.

Is there a Texan you don't want to own right now?  Kevin Walters....damn.  Time to take him seriously.  Very, very seriously.  At least until Schaub gets hurt.  It looks like having Jacoby on the field with him is allowing for matchups with safeties....and he's winning.

Schaub is being hailed as an MVP.  His ankle/knee/back/shoulder all disagree.

Arian Foster still got 138 total yards.  It's looking very likely he'll be a top 3 RB.  You can't key on him...otherwise that passing game will rip you up. 

Jacoby Jones finally got into the endzone.  Told ya.

Cooley and Santana Moss are turning into every week options very quickly.  I would love a Cooley/Pettigrew/Heap/Maoki/A.Gonzales combination somewhere.  If you have a tradeable high profile TE, and can get a couple of these guys off the wire....fill a need somewhere else.

Portis YPC = 2.5.  Those TD's masked a very, very bad game.  Johnson = -7 yards.  Again.  We're getting closer to Ryan Torain every week.


Giants at Indy
Nice job with the helmet there Jacobs.  You just gave NY every reason in the world to continue to ignore you.  I never, ever, ever want to hear again that Brady is better than Peyton Manning.  His stats weren't other-wordly, but he just tore that defense apart.  It was like watching Ron Jeremy direct a porn.  Even if he's not the star of the show.....you know the results will excite you.  When he retires, I would really, really like him to coach the Cowboys.  Or perhaps run for president and fix our economy so I don't have so much time for blogging.  Manning I mean....not Jeremy.  Giants fans....don't lose hope.  You'll still likely win the division.  You just got outclassed by a master.

Fantasy Relevant Notes:
Lost amidst the blowout was how well Eli actually performed.  The sacks hurt, and only 50% completions.....but he still got off a couple bombs for TD's under ridiculous pressure.  I'm really starting to believe that he's turned the corner, and we can expect 4000 and 26-28 annually.  Indy just had his number, and while Bradshaw is good......he's not Arian Foster.

Speaking of Bradshaw....he's now officially a very good #2 RB that should provide bankable points on a weekly basis.

I don't know what to think about Steve Smith....but it doesn't look good for him this year.  With Nicks and Manningham taking the deep ball work, he's relegated to a possession role.  Still useful, but not what you drafted.

Pierre Garcon is officially irrelevant.  Those week 1 drops will haunt him all season.  Sorry Garcon....but Manning is only looking at guys that catch balls regularly.

Apparently Addai and Brown can in fact be useful.  You'll just never know which one, and never know when.

New Orleans at San Francisco;
So safe to say that San Fran has a decent run defense.  Also safe to say that New Orleans has a decent pass defense.  But.......short of Frank Gore, nobody was very inspiring, and that may be the theme of these teams going forward.


Fantasy Relevant Notes:
You know you're good when 254 yards and 2 TD's on a 75% completion percentage is blase.  So is the life of Drew Brees.

Hi Alex....meet Michael.  Mr. Crabtree is your best reciever.  I know it's been awhile since you've had reason to speak, but now that everyone is healthy, you might want to try running some drills together.  If you don't figure it out against KC next week....you're not going to figure it out.  In the meantime, if you own Crabtree...Morgan had 6 receptions for 70 yards against New Orleans.  If you have some space, grab him now.  If he's the primary guy against KC....then he's the primary guy for 2010.

With Reggie Bush hurt, it's time to make Chris Ivory a waiver priority.  I don't care how hurt he is.  Atlanta is a tough test.....but I like him for week 4 when Carolina comes to town.

Forget Marques Colston against Atlanta.  My guess is Lance Moore finally gets his shot, taking the check down TD's that normally go Reggie Bush's way.

1 comment:

  1. I completely overlooked Buffalo at Green Bay. Here's a quick synopsis:

    I will own Lynch until week 6. If he is not traded I will then cut him...along with anyone else in that Buffalo backfield. I have nothing else to say about Buffalo, probably for the rest of the season, as they are completely irrelevant to anyone that doesn't get 120" of snow every year.

    So the shines off Brandon Jackson. If you can't run against the Bills...you can't run. If you can trade him now, do it. And don't turn your nose up at Kuhn. Overall though...there are alot of tough run defenses on deck for Green Bay.

    In the meantime, I'm upgrading Finley because of the tremendous goal-line opportunities he's going to receive. Kurt was right...but only because of B-Jax's injury. (Graceful exit...stage right.)

    Last year, Aaron Rodgers had 50 sacks. What's the all time record? Because without a running game, it's a threat to be broken. I think the pack should sign David Carr...just so Rodgers has someone on the sideline that can sympathize, and let Rodgers know how not to die after getting knocked down 500 times in a season. Needless to say...I'm downgrading Jennings and Driver, and upgrading Jones for his hot read value.

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